Contribution of low population immunity to the severe Omicron BA.2 outbreak in Hong Kong

Lin Lei Chen, Syed Muhammad Umer Abdullah, Wan Mui Chan, Brian Pui Chun Chan, Jonathan Daniel Ip, Allen Wing Ho Chu, Lu Lu, Xiaojuan Zhang, Yan Zhao, Vivien Wai Man Chuang, Albert Ka Wing Au, Vincent Chi Chung Cheng, Siddharth Sridhar, Kwok Yung Yuen, Ivan Fan Ngai Hung, Kwok Hung Chan, Kelvin Kai Wang To

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

49 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Monitoring population protective immunity against SARS-CoV-2 variants is critical for risk assessment. We hypothesize that Hong Kong’s explosive Omicron BA.2 outbreak in early 2022 could be explained by low herd immunity. Our seroprevalence study using sera collected from January to December 2021 shows a very low prevalence of neutralizing antibodies (NAb) against ancestral virus among older adults. The age group-specific prevalence of NAb generally correlates with the vaccination uptake rate, but older adults have a much lower NAb seropositive rate than vaccination uptake rate. For all age groups, the seroprevalence of NAb against Omicron variant is much lower than that against the ancestral virus. Our study suggests that this BA.2 outbreak and the exceptionally high case-fatality rate in the ≥80 year-old age group (9.2%) could be attributed to the lack of protective immunity in the population, especially among the vulnerable older adults, and that ongoing sero-surveillance is essential.

Original languageEnglish
Article number3618
JournalNature Communications
Volume13
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2022
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2022, The Author(s).

ASJC Scopus Subject Areas

  • General Chemistry
  • General Biochemistry,Genetics and Molecular Biology
  • General Physics and Astronomy

Cite this