A polygenic risk score for nasopharyngeal carcinoma shows potential for risk stratification and personalized screening

Yong Qiao He, Tong Min Wang, Mingfang Ji, Zhi Ming Mai, Minzhong Tang, Ruozheng Wang, Yifeng Zhou, Yuming Zheng, Ruowen Xiao, Dawei Yang, Ziyi Wu, Changmi Deng, Jiangbo Zhang, Wenqiong Xue, Siqi Dong, Jiyun Zhan, Yonglin Cai, Fugui Li, Biaohua Wu, Ying LiaoTing Zhou, Meiqi Zheng, Yijing Jia, Danhua Li, Lianjing Cao, Leilei Yuan, Wenli Zhang, Luting Luo, Xiating Tong, Yanxia Wu, Xizhao Li, Peifen Zhang, Xiaohui Zheng, Shaodan Zhang, Yezhu Hu, Weiling Qin, Bisen Deng, Xuejun Liang, Peiwen Fan, Yaning Feng, Jia Song, Shang Hang Xie, Ellen T. Chang, Zhe Zhang, Guangwu Huang, Miao Xu, Lin Feng, Guangfu Jin, Jinxin Bei, Sumei Cao, Qing Liu, Zisis Kozlakidis, Haiqiang Mai, Ying Sun, Jun Ma, Zhibin Hu, Jianjun Liu, Maria Li Lung, Hans Olov Adami, Hongbing Shen, Weimin Ye, Tai Hing Lam, Yi Xin Zeng, Wei Hua Jia

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

34 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) have the potential to identify individuals at risk of diseases, optimizing treatment, and predicting survival outcomes. Here, we construct and validate a genome-wide association study (GWAS) derived PRS for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), using a multi-center study of six populations (6 059 NPC cases and 7 582 controls), and evaluate its utility in a nested case-control study. We show that the PRS enables effective identification of NPC high-risk individuals (AUC = 0.65) and improves the risk prediction with the PRS incremental deciles in each population (Ptrend ranging from 2.79 × 10−7 to 4.79 × 10−44). By incorporating the PRS into EBV-serology-based NPC screening, the test’s positive predictive value (PPV) is increased from an average of 4.84% to 8.38% and 11.91% in the top 10% and 5% PRS, respectively. In summary, the GWAS-derived PRS, together with the EBV test, significantly improves NPC risk stratification and informs personalized screening.

Original languageEnglish
Article number1966
JournalNature Communications
Volume13
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2022
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2022, The Author(s).

ASJC Scopus Subject Areas

  • General Chemistry
  • General Biochemistry,Genetics and Molecular Biology
  • General Physics and Astronomy

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